Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 2.904126 3.192055 3.502608 3.863532 4.272806 4.724046 5.261323
2025-10-05 2.493025 2.881695 3.328759 3.885053 4.564311 5.374003 6.423169
2025-10-12 2.255365 2.703641 3.244128 3.952035 4.867118 6.027484 7.638752
2025-10-19 2.083957 2.571489 3.181937 4.015702 5.146008 6.657011 8.886481
2025-10-26 1.947288 2.461899 3.127180 4.069178 5.400506 7.266108 10.175783
2025-11-02 1.825853 2.356909 3.062648 4.093944 5.606413 7.818121 11.449031
2025-11-09 1.677766 2.201764 2.913603 3.980611 5.593485 8.036904 12.225935
2025-11-16 1.568450 2.090271 2.813942 3.925175 5.654348 8.365621 13.217658
2025-11-23 1.483253 2.005597 2.744270 3.904965 5.762386 8.774365 14.399596
2025-11-30 1.443779 1.982747 2.761097 4.015109 6.084533 9.568355 16.397498
2025-12-07 1.372924 1.908776 2.695669 3.989184 6.177794 9.977615 17.734482
2025-12-14 1.302939 1.831509 2.619445 3.938441 6.221653 10.300198 18.948895
2025-12-21 1.209062 1.714359 2.476601 3.771205 6.053617 10.225967 19.354711
2025-12-28 1.167796 1.675442 2.453703 3.802010 6.240023 10.842848 21.369967
2026-01-04 1.137526 1.651516 2.452519 3.868662 6.497097 11.629513 23.935041
2026-01-11 1.108560 1.627700 2.449453 3.930850 6.750921 12.442820 26.749487
2026-01-18 1.079669 1.602171 2.441519 3.982931 6.989490 13.256266 29.762021
2026-01-25 1.047612 1.569625 2.419515 4.007040 7.174033 13.977220 32.712918
2026-02-01 0.994024 1.499047 2.328787 3.896730 7.073377 14.041404 33.842758
2026-02-08 0.953822 1.448799 2.270274 3.842765 7.084309 14.364706 35.811062
2026-02-15 0.921931 1.410974 2.231264 3.823090 7.165665 14.866294 38.458753
2026-02-22 0.912163 1.409990 2.256822 3.930310 7.532544 16.122720 43.907840
2026-03-01 0.882529 1.373579 2.217034 3.905076 7.602361 16.637696 47.031010